Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 6.539144 7.462425 8.480486 9.688149 11.084024 12.649539 14.542282
2025-07-06 5.201274 6.375709 7.773965 9.568052 11.818505 14.560403 18.173133
2025-07-13 4.575380 5.909389 7.589688 9.875052 12.923205 16.877710 22.443736
2025-07-20 4.104106 5.529901 7.410018 10.092362 13.856225 19.001722 26.657959
2025-07-27 3.796372 5.306894 7.379917 10.464280 14.990858 21.474392 31.615229
2025-08-03 3.368941 4.858484 6.973318 10.234922 15.210014 22.629491 34.750550
2025-08-10 3.041479 4.511903 6.665016 10.096409 15.519418 23.914129 38.194941
2025-08-17 2.768871 4.215002 6.393311 9.971420 15.815072 25.180380 41.727961
2025-08-24 2.528805 3.942120 6.127251 9.818489 16.033898 26.323455 45.163867
2025-08-31 2.312935 3.685726 5.860139 9.630281 16.162458 27.310940 48.422839
2025-09-07 2.237275 3.646880 5.936089 10.014107 17.293137 30.118804 55.282566
2025-09-14 2.116013 3.520731 5.854309 10.115100 17.930261 32.110011 60.855869
2025-09-21 1.973315 3.348428 5.683030 10.048037 18.267766 33.611614 65.726032
2025-09-28 1.835488 3.172959 5.490919 9.923728 18.483419 34.903208 70.342217
2025-10-05 1.778602 3.135178 5.537751 10.243152 19.574233 38.000155 79.097556
2025-10-12 1.712427 3.074541 5.536803 10.469250 20.501364 40.867765 87.749201
2025-10-19 1.672529 3.058553 5.615872 10.856238 21.790049 44.617589 98.877276
2025-10-26 1.556415 2.889813 5.392170 10.617581 21.754887 45.559492 103.690247
2025-11-02 1.461732 2.754942 5.222867 10.473460 21.903410 46.910960 109.650008
2025-11-09 1.376500 2.632108 5.067439 10.343417 22.067364 48.310283 115.915091
2025-11-16 1.294958 2.510634 4.905359 10.184309 22.149296 49.528080 121.891620
2025-11-23 1.216026 2.388809 4.733438 9.988510 22.127405 50.498384 127.363779
2025-11-30 1.201164 2.396552 4.828526 10.387829 23.522547 55.006620 142.875786